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Category ‘Monetary Policy’


The FED FOMC Meeting : What is a Central Banker to do?

The markets would prefer to see an Operation Shock and Awe than an Operation Twist. After all, this economy is going nowhere and there is Europe, again. Well, in terms of monetary easing, we can’t say that the Fed is sitting on its hands because the money supply is still growing at an annual rate of 23% – so there is plenty of QE going on. It is what’s needed to prevent the system from collapsing.

So what is a central banker to do? Operation Twist? Buying longer term bonds, reducing the yield curve by .oooo5%? Won’t do much in reality. …

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The End of QE2?

With all due respect, when it comes to predictions, the track record of Mr. Bernanke is abysmal to say the least. Remember, the subprime mortages are “contained”; everything is fine except we need a couple of trillions to save the banks – euh – the world, etc. So obviously we have to take with a grain of salt what the chairman is saying even if a lot of people are studying every word. So what did he say? Well that growth should be slower than expected. Yes there is some inflation but it is “transitory” and mostly the fault of …

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The FED – Missing the Good Old Days!

Central banking should be the most boring subject on earth but when Glen Beck is doing one of its shows on the Fed, you know it ain’t what it used to be! In effect, the Fed and the powers that be love nothing more than to remain mysterious and mostly under the radar. The last thing they want is publicity. But as much as the ruling elite in charge of the State, democratic or otherwise, would like to mask their obvious intentions – one bad move or a Black Swan event and the little game is sometime revealed in broad …

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Monetary Crisis – Great Times to Profit!

We are living in a unique time in history as people now perceive currency (paper money) to have value. It was not always like that, far from it. As Voltaire once said, “paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value – zero”, those days seems long gone.

Inflation Fear Growing…

Now it seems that some are finally catching up to the fact that printing green pieces of paper does not make one prosperous but worst, considerably lowers its purchasing power and eventually its use as a medium of exchange.

In practical investment terms – one would be well advised to look …

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Inflation Genie out of the Bottle: US Consumer Credit Up

The WSJ was reporting that consumer credit in the US was up by $6 billion in December 2010, the first time since August 2008. Wait a minute? The “real” unemployment rate in the US is 17% and recent jobs numbers indicated that Americans are dropping from the labor force like a rock and consumer credit is up?

Well, at some point all this new money injected by the Fed to re capitalize the banks and save a couple of companies (GM, GE…) had to find its way into the market. It’s true, for most of 2010, the banks were sitting …

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China fights inflation by printing money…

Obama had his buddy from China over for dinner this week. The two countries are good to talk about each others’ flaws and shortcomings. The US keeps repeating that China is manipulating its currency to peg it to the US dollar and thus hurting US exporters. China is getting tired of Mr. Bernanke’s printing press devaluing the dollar and exporting inflation in their homeland. Food prices rose by more than 10% in 2010 in China.

We know the US is printing money, the Fed chairman made it very clear for the last 2 years with the 2008 bailout and QE …

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Indebted Canadian Households – Who’s Worried Now?

Last time I check the interest rates are set by the Bank of Canada in this country. Now the Bank of Canada which set those rates to their lowest level in history (2008) is now worried about the dangerous level of household debt.

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Money printing (QE2) and Election Week in the US

Anybody who thinks that you can print your way to prosperity or that the “economy needs more liquidity” is not working with a sound economic theory.

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The Currency Crisis and the Welfare State

Many think that developed countries are somehow “better” than the rest because they provide for the needy through the welfare state. Nowhere is this idea more alive than in Québec. We’re more caring. Americans are ruthless cutthroat capitalists (if only!).

Few people, especially the intellectuals, understand that it has nothing to do with our good “ethos” but more with printing money and going off the gold exchange standard. Indeed, the welfare state going into full throttle coincides with the US going off the gold standard at the beginning of the 1970s. No backstop – baby boomers partied like it was …

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Got Gold?

Gold is money. I know most find gold a “barbarous relic” as Mr. Keynes once put it. But it’s because most people don’t understand what money is. They confuse money with wealth. It is not the same thing. Money is a medium of exchange used in a complex market economy. It is a commodity like any other good, subject to the law of supply and demand. I know shocking isn’t it?

Money has not been invented by governments but by human beings engaged in trade in a market economy. For centuries, gold and silver have presented the best qualities for …

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